WTXS51 PGTW 052100 WARNING ATCG MIL 02S SIO 191205210353 2019120518 02S BELNA 003 02 250 08 SATL 025 T000 071S 0499E 055 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 075 NW QD T012 077S 0486E 065 R064 015 NE QD 005 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 083S 0481E 075 R064 015 NE QD 005 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 094S 0475E 085 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T048 107S 0471E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 135S 0461E 075 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 167S 0451E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD T120 203S 0449E 035 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 035 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BELNA) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BELNA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 7.1S 49.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.1S 49.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 7.7S 48.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 8.3S 48.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 9.4S 47.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 10.7S 47.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 13.5S 46.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 16.7S 45.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 20.3S 44.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 7.2S 49.6E. 05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BELNA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 863 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z AND 062100Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0219120118 53S 545E 20 0219120200 55S 549E 20 0219120206 57S 552E 25 0219120212 60S 536E 25 0219120218 64S 532E 20 0219120300 63S 531E 20 0219120306 63S 530E 20 0219120312 63S 529E 20 0219120318 63S 528E 25 0219120400 65S 520E 25 0219120406 65S 518E 25 0219120412 65S 516E 30 0219120418 65S 515E 35 0219120500 66S 513E 35 0219120506 67S 509E 40 0219120512 68S 507E 45 0219120518 71S 499E 55 0219120518 71S 499E 55 NNNN