WTXS51 PGTW 061500 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 180106144915 2018010612 03S AVA 016 02 210 09 SATL 060 T000 208S 0470E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 219S 0472E 045 R034 140 NE QD 175 SE QD 145 SW QD 055 NW QD T024 232S 0475E 045 R034 140 NE QD 210 SE QD 160 SW QD 055 NW QD T036 243S 0475E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 210 SE QD 145 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 253S 0470E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 195 SE QD 125 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 274S 0469E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 160 SE QD 135 SW QD 090 NW QD T096 286S 0493E 045 R034 095 NE QD 155 SE QD 175 SW QD 140 NW QD T120 284S 0520E 040 R034 085 NE QD 185 SE QD 180 SW QD 125 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 016 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 20.8S 47.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S 47.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 21.9S 47.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 23.2S 47.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 24.3S 47.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 25.3S 47.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 27.4S 46.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 28.6S 49.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 28.4S 52.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 061500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1S 47.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (AVA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 389 NM EAST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0317122918 121S 662E 25 0317123000 121S 655E 25 0317123006 122S 648E 25 0317123012 124S 642E 25 0317123018 127S 637E 25 0317123100 130S 632E 25 0317123106 135S 626E 25 0317123112 138S 622E 25 0317123118 141S 616E 25 0318010100 143S 610E 25 0318010106 146S 600E 25 0318010112 149S 592E 25 0318010118 152S 579E 25 0318010200 153S 563E 25 0318010206 154S 550E 25 0318010212 154S 540E 30 0318010218 154S 533E 35 0318010300 152S 526E 40 0318010306 154S 529E 40 0318010312 160S 531E 40 0318010318 167S 529E 40 0318010400 173S 525E 45 0318010406 173S 520E 50 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010600 191S 483E 60 0318010600 191S 483E 60 0318010606 200S 475E 55 0318010606 200S 475E 55 0318010612 208S 470E 50 0318010612 208S 470E 50 NNNN