WTXS52 PGTW 072100 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 180107195846 2018010718 04S IRVING 008 02 230 15 SATL 020 T000 158S 0830E 090 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 170 SE QD 105 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 174S 0803E 095 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 105 NW QD T024 194S 0773E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 210 SE QD 160 SW QD 105 NW QD T036 216S 0744E 080 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 220 SE QD 165 SW QD 105 NW QD T048 242S 0714E 070 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 235 SE QD 175 SW QD 095 NW QD T072 321S 0688E 055 R050 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 220 SE QD 135 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 437S 0767E 040 R034 245 NE QD 200 SE QD 070 SW QD 190 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (IRVING) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z --- NEAR 15.8S 83.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S 83.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 17.4S 80.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 19.4S 77.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 21.6S 74.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 24.2S 71.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 32.1S 68.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 33 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 43.7S 76.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 072100Z POSITION NEAR 16.2S 82.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (IRVING), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 808 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0418010406 98S 947E 20 0418010412 101S 946E 20 0418010418 104S 944E 20 0418010500 107S 940E 20 0418010506 112S 938E 25 0418010512 119S 933E 25 0418010518 123S 925E 30 0418010600 125S 916E 35 0418010606 126S 904E 35 0418010612 128S 893E 40 0418010618 129S 882E 45 0418010700 134S 870E 55 0418010700 134S 870E 55 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010712 148S 842E 75 0418010712 148S 842E 75 0418010712 148S 842E 75 0418010718 158S 830E 90 0418010718 158S 830E 90 0418010718 158S 830E 90 NNNN