WTXS51 PGTW 152100 WARNING ATCG MIL 05S SIO 150115192609 2015011518 05S BANSI 010 01 105 12 SATL 020 T000 183S 0629E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD T012 194S 0646E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 140 NW QD T024 209S 0665E 110 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T036 222S 0686E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 115 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 235S 0717E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 115 NW QD T072 268S 0800E 065 R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 315S 0896E 050 AMP 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 18.3S 62.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S 62.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 19.4S 64.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 20.9S 66.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 22.2S 68.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 23.5S 71.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 26.8S 80.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 24 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 31.5S 89.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 18.6S 63.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z AND 162100Z.// 0515010806 178S 516E 15 0515010812 182S 525E 15 0515010818 184S 530E 15 0515010900 186S 531E 20 0515010906 190S 531E 20 0515010912 187S 528E 20 0515010918 181S 526E 20 0515011000 175S 528E 20 0515011006 170S 531E 20 0515011012 167S 533E 25 0515011018 163S 538E 30 0515011100 162S 544E 30 0515011106 163S 547E 35 0515011112 167S 549E 50 0515011118 171S 550E 65 0515011118 171S 550E 65 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011300 176S 573E 140 0515011300 176S 573E 140 0515011300 176S 573E 140 0515011306 173S 576E 130 0515011306 173S 576E 130 0515011306 173S 576E 130 0515011312 172S 579E 130 0515011312 172S 579E 130 0515011312 172S 579E 130 0515011318 173S 581E 115 0515011318 173S 581E 115 0515011318 173S 581E 115 0515011400 174S 582E 105 0515011400 174S 582E 105 0515011400 174S 582E 105 0515011406 173S 585E 90 0515011406 173S 585E 90 0515011406 173S 585E 90 0515011412 173S 589E 90 0515011412 173S 589E 90 0515011412 173S 589E 90 0515011418 174S 596E 90 0515011418 174S 596E 90 0515011418 174S 596E 90 0515011500 177S 602E 105 0515011500 177S 602E 105 0515011500 177S 602E 105 0515011506 179S 608E 120 0515011506 179S 608E 120 0515011506 179S 608E 120 0515011512 180S 617E 115 0515011512 180S 617E 115 0515011512 180S 617E 115 0515011518 183S 629E 115 0515011518 183S 629E 115 0515011518 183S 629E 115 NNNN