WTXS51 PGTW 150900 WARNING ATCG MIL 06S SIO 180115081704 2018011506 06S BERGUITTA 011 01 360 01 SATL 015 T000 178S 0632E 075 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 195 SE QD 165 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 178S 0625E 085 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 230 SE QD 195 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 179S 0617E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 240 SE QD 205 SW QD 115 NW QD T036 182S 0608E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 240 SE QD 225 SW QD 120 NW QD T048 187S 0597E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 245 SE QD 230 SW QD 125 NW QD T072 208S 0567E 100 R064 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 240 SE QD 220 SW QD 120 NW QD T096 238S 0536E 085 R064 035 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 240 SE QD 220 SW QD 125 NW QD T120 279S 0511E 070 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 115 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z --- NEAR 17.8S 63.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S 63.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 17.8S 62.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 17.9S 61.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 18.2S 60.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 18.7S 59.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 20.8S 56.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 23.8S 53.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 27.9S 51.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150900Z POSITION NEAR 17.8S 63.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 362 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z. // 0618011100 130S 679E 15 0618011106 131S 683E 20 0618011112 137S 687E 30 0618011118 146S 690E 30 0618011200 153S 690E 30 0618011206 162S 685E 30 0618011212 168S 676E 30 0618011218 170S 669E 35 0618011300 174S 658E 35 0618011306 176S 651E 40 0618011312 181S 644E 40 0618011318 182S 638E 40 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 NNNN