WTPS51 PGTW 212100 WARNING ATCG MIL 07P SWP 150121185727 2015012118 07P NIKO 003 01 135 10 SATL 025 T000 164S 1488W 050 R034 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 179S 1475W 060 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T024 199S 1463W 070 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 229S 1453W 075 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 251S 1452W 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 283S 1454W 040 R034 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T096 308S 1457W 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (NIKO) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (NIKO) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z --- NEAR 16.4S 148.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S 148.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 17.9S 147.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 19.9S 146.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 22.9S 145.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 25.1S 145.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 28.3S 145.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 30.8S 145.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION NEAR 16.8S 148.5W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (NIKO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTHEAST OF PAPEETE, TAHITI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z AND 222100Z. // 0715011912 114S1535W 15 0715011918 116S1529W 20 0715012000 120S1522W 25 0715012006 126S1515W 35 0715012012 131S1510W 40 0715012018 137S1505W 45 0715012100 143S1501W 45 0715012106 150S1499W 45 0715012112 157S1495W 50 0715012118 164S1488W 50 NNNN