WTPS51 PGTW 172100 WARNING ATCG MIL 07P SWP 160117201613 2016011718 07P VICTOR 007 01 180 06 SATL 060 T000 174S 1664W 065 R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD T012 186S 1664W 075 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 110 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 185 SE QD 110 SW QD 125 NW QD T024 199S 1665W 080 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 105 SW QD 115 NW QD T036 208S 1669W 075 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 165 SE QD 105 SW QD 100 NW QD T048 211S 1677W 070 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 135 SE QD 140 SW QD 150 NW QD T072 214S 1695W 065 R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 115 SE QD 100 SW QD 085 NW QD T096 216S 1717W 060 T120 228S 1740W 055 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z --- NEAR 17.4S 166.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S 166.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 18.6S 166.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 19.9S 166.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 20.8S 166.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 21.1S 167.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 21.4S 169.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 21.6S 171.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 22.8S 174.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 172100Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 166.4W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z AND 182100Z.// 0716011318 121S1651W 25 0716011400 126S1649W 25 0716011406 131S1648W 25 0716011412 136S1649W 30 0716011418 140S1652W 35 0716011500 143S1655W 40 0716011506 145S1658W 45 0716011512 144S1660W 55 0716011512 144S1660W 55 0716011518 143S1661W 65 0716011518 143S1661W 65 0716011600 145S1661W 70 0716011600 145S1661W 70 0716011606 147S1662W 75 0716011606 147S1662W 75 0716011606 147S1662W 75 0716011612 149S1663W 75 0716011612 149S1663W 75 0716011612 149S1663W 75 0716011618 151S1664W 75 0716011618 151S1664W 75 0716011618 151S1664W 75 0716011700 155S1664W 70 0716011700 155S1664W 70 0716011700 155S1664W 70 0716011706 161S1664W 70 0716011706 161S1664W 70 0716011706 161S1664W 70 0716011712 168S1664W 70 0716011712 168S1664W 70 0716011712 168S1664W 70 0716011718 174S1664W 65 0716011718 174S1664W 65 NNNN