WTXS51 PGTW 021500 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 180202130832 2018020212 07S CEBILE 027 01 160 06 SATL 020 T000 176S 0758E 110 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 181S 0764E 100 R064 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 155 SW QD 140 NW QD T024 189S 0776E 090 R064 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 180 SE QD 155 SW QD 135 NW QD T036 197S 0790E 080 R064 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 185 SE QD 155 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 208S 0802E 070 R064 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 190 SE QD 155 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 235S 0813E 055 R050 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 110 NW QD T096 261S 0813E 040 R034 190 NE QD 195 SE QD 160 SW QD 105 NW QD T120 284S 0810E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z --- NEAR 17.6S 75.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 75.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 18.1S 76.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 18.9S 77.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 19.7S 79.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 20.8S 80.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 23.5S 81.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 26.1S 81.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 28.4S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 75.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CEBILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 659 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND 031500Z.// 0718012412 93S 792E 15 0718012418 93S 795E 15 0718012500 93S 798E 20 0718012506 93S 801E 25 0718012512 96S 807E 30 0718012518 98S 814E 30 0718012600 102S 821E 30 0718012606 103S 826E 30 0718012612 103S 831E 30 0718012618 105S 843E 30 0718012700 107S 847E 30 0718012706 110S 848E 35 0718012712 114S 848E 35 0718012718 118S 848E 45 0718012800 126S 846E 65 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718020100 154S 766E 115 0718020100 154S 766E 115 0718020100 154S 766E 115 0718020106 155S 763E 115 0718020106 155S 763E 115 0718020106 155S 763E 115 0718020109 156S 762E 115 0718020109 156S 762E 115 0718020109 156S 762E 115 0718020112 157S 761E 115 0718020112 157S 761E 115 0718020112 157S 761E 115 0718020118 160S 759E 110 0718020118 160S 759E 110 0718020118 160S 759E 110 0718020200 165S 757E 120 0718020200 165S 757E 120 0718020200 165S 757E 120 0718020206 170S 756E 115 0718020206 170S 756E 115 0718020206 170S 756E 115 0718020212 176S 758E 110 0718020212 176S 758E 110 0718020212 176S 758E 110 NNNN