WTXS51 PGTW 100900 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 170310070820 2017031006 11S ELEVEN 004 02 170 14 SATL 020 T000 166S 0693E 035 R034 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD T012 192S 0683E 040 R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 210S 0656E 040 R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 222S 0626E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 035 NW QD T048 233S 0596E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 035 NW QD T072 258S 0555E 055 R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 070 NW QD T096 282S 0543E 060 R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 090 NW QD T120 310S 0515E 055 R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 090 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (ELEVEN) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (ELEVEN) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z --- NEAR 16.6S 69.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 69.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 19.2S 68.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 21.0S 65.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 22.2S 62.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 23.3S 59.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 25.8S 55.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 28.2S 54.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 31.0S 51.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100900Z POSITION NEAR 17.3S 69.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (ELEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z AND 110900Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// 1117030600 138S 779E 25 1117030606 142S 771E 25 1117030612 146S 765E 25 1117030618 150S 758E 30 1117030700 156S 748E 30 1117030706 159S 738E 30 1117030712 161S 728E 30 1117030718 160S 721E 30 1117030800 155S 715E 30 1117030806 151S 711E 30 1117030812 151S 706E 30 1117030818 152S 701E 35 1117030900 151S 692E 40 1117030906 146S 686E 40 1117030912 142S 688E 35 1117030914 142S 692E 35 1117030918 145S 693E 35 1117031000 152S 690E 30 1117031006 166S 693E 35 NNNN