WTXS51 PGTW 030300 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 180303013502 2018030300 11S DUMAZILE 003 01 185 10 SATL 045 T000 141S 0542E 040 R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 040 SW QD 145 NW QD T012 156S 0534E 050 R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 165 NW QD T024 172S 0524E 065 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 170 NW QD T036 190S 0517E 085 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 180 NW QD T048 207S 0516E 100 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 135 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 245 SE QD 195 SW QD 165 NW QD T072 241S 0531E 115 R064 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 135 NE QD 180 SE QD 125 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 320 SE QD 220 SW QD 210 NW QD T096 267S 0551E 080 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 175 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 360 SE QD 220 SW QD 240 NW QD T120 294S 0575E 055 R050 145 NE QD 085 SE QD 175 SW QD 140 NW QD R034 390 NE QD 465 SE QD 300 SW QD 275 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (DUMAZILE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 14.1S 54.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S 54.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 15.6S 53.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 17.2S 52.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 19.0S 51.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 20.7S 51.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 24.1S 53.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 26.7S 55.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 29.4S 57.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 465 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 275 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 14.5S 54.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (DUMAZILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 389 NM NORTH OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.// 1118030106 136S 560E 20 1118030112 133S 554E 25 1118030118 131S 547E 25 1118030200 131S 541E 25 1118030206 127S 539E 30 1118030212 126S 542E 35 1118030218 131S 543E 40 1118030300 141S 542E 40 NNNN