WTXS51 PGTW 040300 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 180304013745 2018030400 11S DUMAZILE 007 01 215 07 SATL 045 T000 166S 0516E 065 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 065 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 165 SE QD 125 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 182S 0511E 085 R064 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 255 NE QD 210 SE QD 160 SW QD 120 NW QD T024 199S 0510E 100 R064 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 250 SE QD 195 SW QD 125 NW QD T036 217S 0514E 110 R064 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 115 NE QD 135 SE QD 100 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 280 SE QD 205 SW QD 155 NW QD T048 234S 0523E 110 R064 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 175 SE QD 120 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 305 NE QD 310 SE QD 215 SW QD 195 NW QD T072 265S 0547E 095 R064 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 075 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 190 SE QD 135 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 355 SE QD 225 SW QD 225 NW QD T096 298S 0577E 070 R064 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 165 SE QD 130 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 355 NE QD 400 SE QD 250 SW QD 250 NW QD T120 338S 0614E 050 R050 240 NE QD 230 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 425 NE QD 375 SE QD 255 SW QD 265 NW QD AMP 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (DUMAZILE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z --- NEAR 16.6S 51.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 51.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 18.2S 51.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 19.9S 51.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 21.7S 51.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 23.4S 52.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 305 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 26.5S 54.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 355 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 29.8S 57.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 355 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 400 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 33.8S 61.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 425 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 375 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 255 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 265 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040300Z POSITION NEAR 17.0S 51.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (DUMAZILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.// 1118030106 136S 560E 20 1118030112 133S 554E 25 1118030118 131S 547E 25 1118030200 131S 541E 25 1118030206 127S 539E 30 1118030212 126S 542E 35 1118030218 131S 543E 40 1118030300 141S 542E 40 1118030306 149S 534E 45 1118030312 153S 526E 50 1118030312 153S 526E 50 1118030318 160S 520E 55 1118030318 160S 520E 55 1118030400 166S 516E 65 1118030400 166S 516E 65 1118030400 166S 516E 65 NNNN