WTXS51 PGTW 041500 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 180304133003 2018030412 11S DUMAZILE 009 01 210 09 SATL 045 T000 185S 0508E 080 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 201S 0506E 095 R064 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 220 SE QD 195 SW QD 150 NW QD T024 218S 0510E 110 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 155 SE QD 115 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 295 SE QD 225 SW QD 160 NW QD T036 234S 0519E 110 R064 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 330 SE QD 235 SW QD 185 NW QD T048 249S 0532E 105 R064 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 205 SE QD 140 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 355 NE QD 360 SE QD 235 SW QD 215 NW QD T072 280S 0563E 080 R064 070 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 195 SE QD 145 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 350 NE QD 410 SE QD 250 SW QD 250 NW QD T096 320S 0593E 060 R050 135 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 410 NE QD 415 SE QD 295 SW QD 285 NW QD T120 380S 0621E 050 R050 130 NE QD 225 SE QD 125 SW QD 125 NW QD R034 495 NE QD 470 SE QD 285 SW QD 270 NW QD AMP 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (DUMAZILE) WARNING NR 009 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (DUMAZILE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z --- NEAR 18.5S 50.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S 50.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 20.1S 50.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 21.8S 51.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 295 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 23.4S 51.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 24.9S 53.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 355 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 28.0S 56.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 410 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 32.0S 59.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 415 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 295 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 285 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 38.0S 62.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 495 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 470 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 285 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 041500Z POSITION NEAR 18.9S 50.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (DUMAZILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 281 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z.// 1118030106 136S 560E 20 1118030112 133S 554E 25 1118030118 131S 547E 25 1118030200 131S 541E 25 1118030206 127S 539E 30 1118030212 126S 542E 35 1118030218 131S 543E 40 1118030300 141S 542E 40 1118030306 149S 534E 45 1118030312 153S 526E 50 1118030312 153S 526E 50 1118030318 160S 520E 55 1118030318 160S 520E 55 1118030400 168S 516E 65 1118030400 168S 516E 65 1118030400 168S 516E 65 1118030406 177S 513E 70 1118030406 177S 513E 70 1118030406 177S 513E 70 1118030412 185S 508E 80 1118030412 185S 508E 80 1118030412 185S 508E 80 NNNN