WTXS51 PGTW 061500 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 180306132027 2018030612 11S DUMAZILE 017 01 125 14 SATL 025 T000 250S 0548E 090 R064 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 125 SW QD 115 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 255 SE QD 220 SW QD 250 NW QD T012 268S 0559E 080 R064 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 115 NW QD R034 335 NE QD 350 SE QD 220 SW QD 215 NW QD T024 283S 0570E 065 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 185 SE QD 135 SW QD 115 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 405 SE QD 235 SW QD 235 NW QD T036 300S 0584E 055 R050 130 NE QD 155 SE QD 140 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 440 SE QD 265 SW QD 240 NW QD T048 323S 0601E 050 R050 110 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 375 NE QD 425 SE QD 310 SW QD 240 NW QD T072 397S 0640E 040 R034 420 NE QD 370 SE QD 235 SW QD 215 NW QD AMP 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (DUMAZILE) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 25.0S 54.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 255 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.0S 54.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 26.8S 55.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 28.3S 57.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 405 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 30.0S 58.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 440 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 265 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 32.3S 60.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 375 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 425 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 310 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 39.7S 64.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 420 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 370 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 061500Z POSITION NEAR 25.4S 55.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (DUMAZILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 271 NM SOUTH OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z. // 1118030106 136S 560E 20 1118030112 133S 554E 25 1118030118 131S 547E 25 1118030200 131S 541E 25 1118030206 127S 539E 30 1118030212 126S 542E 35 1118030218 131S 543E 40 1118030300 141S 542E 40 1118030306 149S 534E 45 1118030312 153S 526E 50 1118030312 153S 526E 50 1118030318 160S 520E 55 1118030318 160S 520E 55 1118030400 168S 516E 65 1118030400 168S 516E 65 1118030400 168S 516E 65 1118030406 179S 511E 70 1118030406 179S 511E 70 1118030406 179S 511E 70 1118030412 185S 508E 80 1118030412 185S 508E 80 1118030412 185S 508E 80 1118030418 194S 507E 85 1118030418 194S 507E 85 1118030418 194S 507E 85 1118030500 203S 510E 90 1118030500 203S 510E 90 1118030500 203S 510E 90 1118030506 211S 512E 100 1118030506 211S 512E 100 1118030506 211S 512E 100 1118030512 221S 517E 105 1118030512 221S 517E 105 1118030512 221S 517E 105 1118030518 229S 522E 100 1118030518 229S 522E 100 1118030518 229S 522E 100 1118030600 233S 526E 100 1118030600 233S 526E 100 1118030600 233S 526E 100 1118030606 242S 536E 95 1118030606 242S 536E 95 1118030606 242S 536E 95 1118030612 250S 548E 90 1118030612 250S 548E 90 1118030612 250S 548E 90 NNNN