WTXS51 PGTW 151500 WARNING ATCG MIL 14S SIO 180315131131 2018031512 14S ELIAKIM 003 01 250 09 SATL 025 T000 152S 0530E 050 R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD T012 156S 0512E 060 R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD T024 159S 0500E 055 R050 050 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 175 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 164S 0491E 045 R034 145 NE QD 165 SE QD 095 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 171S 0486E 040 R034 175 NE QD 180 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD T072 192S 0488E 030 T096 229S 0506E 035 R034 185 NE QD 220 SE QD 150 SW QD 065 NW QD T120 272S 0532E 040 R034 130 NE QD 290 SE QD 220 SW QD 125 NW QD AMP 120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z --- NEAR 15.2S 53.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S 53.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 15.6S 51.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 15.9S 50.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 16.4S 49.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 17.1S 48.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 19.2S 48.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 22.9S 50.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 27.2S 53.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION NEAR 15.3S 52.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 344 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z. // 1418031206 117S 583E 20 1418031212 119S 577E 20 1418031218 125S 576E 20 1418031300 126S 581E 20 1418031306 122S 575E 25 1418031312 121S 572E 25 1418031318 121S 569E 25 1418031400 125S 564E 30 1418031406 129S 560E 30 1418031412 134S 556E 30 1418031418 139S 551E 30 1418031500 144S 545E 35 1418031506 149S 539E 45 1418031512 152S 530E 50 1418031512 152S 530E 50 NNNN