WTXS51 PGTW 161500 WARNING ATCG MIL 14S SIO 180316131028 2018031612 14S ELIAKIM 007 02 270 05 SATL 020 T000 158S 0500E 045 R034 165 NE QD 175 SE QD 150 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 162S 0489E 035 R034 150 NE QD 175 SE QD 120 SW QD 085 NW QD T024 172S 0483E 030 T036 188S 0484E 025 T048 203S 0488E 030 T072 244S 0501E 035 R034 205 NE QD 240 SE QD 180 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 290S 0531E 040 R034 195 NE QD 265 SE QD 200 SW QD 115 NW QD T120 336S 0565E 040 R034 250 NE QD 275 SE QD 175 SW QD 140 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z --- NEAR 15.8S 50.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S 50.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 16.2S 48.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 17.2S 48.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 18.8S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 20.3S 48.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 24.4S 50.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 29.0S 53.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 33.6S 56.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION NEAR 15.9S 49.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 263 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1418031206 117S 583E 20 1418031212 119S 577E 20 1418031218 125S 576E 20 1418031300 126S 581E 20 1418031306 122S 575E 25 1418031312 121S 572E 25 1418031318 121S 569E 25 1418031400 125S 564E 30 1418031406 129S 560E 30 1418031412 134S 556E 30 1418031418 139S 551E 30 1418031500 144S 545E 35 1418031506 149S 539E 45 1418031512 152S 530E 50 1418031512 152S 530E 50 1418031518 157S 519E 50 1418031518 157S 519E 50 1418031600 158S 512E 55 1418031600 158S 512E 55 1418031606 158S 505E 55 1418031606 158S 505E 55 1418031612 158S 500E 45 NNNN