WTXS51 PGTW 060300 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 150306020308 2015030600 15S FIFTEEN 002 01 165 04 SATL 040 T000 166S 0423E 035 T012 170S 0420E 035 T024 170S 0416E 040 R034 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD T036 170S 0414E 045 R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD T048 172S 0416E 050 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 182S 0431E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD T096 194S 0458E 035 T120 210S 0500E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 16.6S 42.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 42.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 17.0S 42.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 17.0S 41.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 17.0S 41.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 17.2S 41.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 18.2S 43.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 19.4S 45.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 21.0S 50.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 16.7S 42.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 356 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z AND 070300Z.// 1515030312 148S 415E 15 1515030318 143S 414E 20 1515030400 140S 416E 25 1515030406 140S 419E 25 1515030412 143S 421E 30 1515030418 147S 421E 30 1515030500 150S 422E 30 1515030506 154S 423E 30 1515030512 158S 422E 35 1515030518 162S 422E 35 1515030600 166S 423E 35 NNNN