WTXS51 PGTW 061500 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 150306125335 2015030612 15S FIFTEEN 003 01 300 02 SATL 060 T000 165S 0414E 035 T012 165S 0410E 035 T024 163S 0406E 040 R034 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD T036 164S 0411E 040 R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD T048 172S 0420E 045 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 185S 0436E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD T096 197S 0470E 035 T120 202S 0525E 025 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 16.5S 41.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S 41.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 16.5S 41.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 16.3S 40.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 16.4S 41.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 17.2S 42.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 18.5S 43.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 19.7S 47.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 20.2S 52.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 41.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 349 NM OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z AND 071500Z.// 1515030312 148S 415E 15 1515030318 143S 414E 20 1515030400 140S 416E 25 1515030406 140S 419E 25 1515030412 143S 421E 30 1515030418 147S 421E 30 1515030500 150S 422E 30 1515030506 154S 423E 30 1515030512 158S 422E 35 1515030518 162S 422E 35 1515030600 165S 421E 35 1515030606 166S 416E 35 1515030612 165S 414E 35 NNNN