WTXS51 PGTW 160900 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 160316072442 2016031606 15S EMERAUDE 002 01 290 05 SATL 030 T000 108S 0849E 055 R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 105S 0844E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T024 102S 0842E 085 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 095 SW QD 095 NW QD T036 103S 0846E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 105 NW QD T048 108S 0855E 105 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 118S 0874E 105 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD T096 131S 0888E 095 T120 145S 0885E 085 AMP NNNN SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z --- NEAR 10.8S 84.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8S 84.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 10.5S 84.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 10.2S 84.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 10.3S 84.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 10.8S 85.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 11.8S 87.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 13.1S 88.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 14.5S 88.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 160900Z POSITION NEAR 10.7S 84.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMERAUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 768 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z AND 170900Z. // BT #0001 NNNN 1516031400 107S 879E 15 1516031406 109S 877E 15 1516031412 111S 874E 15 1516031418 112S 871E 20 1516031500 112S 868E 25 1516031506 112S 866E 25 1516031512 112S 863E 30 1516031518 111S 858E 40 1516031600 110S 854E 50 1516031606 108S 849E 55 1516031606 108S 849E 55