WTPS51 PGTW 091500 WARNING ATCG MIL 17P SWP 150309130758 2015030912 17P PAM 002 01 100 07 SATL 025 T000 084S 1703E 045 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD T012 090S 1707E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 099S 1709E 065 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD T036 109S 1711E 075 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 118S 1713E 085 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 149S 1720E 105 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 189S 1734E 120 T120 252S 1779E 115 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (PAM) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (PAM) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z --- NEAR 8.4S 170.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.4S 170.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 9.0S 170.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 9.9S 170.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 10.9S 171.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 11.8S 171.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 14.9S 172.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 18.9S 173.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 25.2S 177.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 091500Z POSITION NEAR 8.6S 170.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (PAM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF NADI, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z AND 101500Z.// 1715030700 60S1720E 15 1715030706 64S1715E 20 1715030712 68S1711E 20 1715030718 73S1706E 20 1715030800 79S1703E 20 1715030806 79S1695E 25 1715030812 75S1688E 25 1715030818 77S1694E 30 1715030900 83S1696E 30 1715030906 83S1696E 35 1715030912 84S1703E 45 NNNN