WTXS51 PGTW 200900 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 160420083655 2016042006 19S FANTALA 018 01 125 09 SATL 030 T000 105S 0527E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 115S 0540E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 115 SE QD 095 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 125S 0549E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 131S 0553E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 133S 0554E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 127S 0545E 090 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 116S 0522E 075 T120 105S 0489E 055 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 018 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z --- NEAR 10.5S 52.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S 52.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 11.5S 54.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 12.5S 54.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 13.1S 55.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 13.3S 55.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 12.7S 54.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 11.6S 52.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 10.5S 48.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 200900Z POSITION NEAR 10.8S 53.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 634 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z AND 210900Z. // 1916041012 118S 750E 20 1916041018 122S 742E 20 1916041100 125S 734E 20 1916041106 127S 728E 25 1916041112 128S 722E 30 1916041118 129S 714E 35 1916041200 129S 705E 45 1916041206 129S 697E 60 1916041206 129S 697E 60 1916041212 129S 692E 60 1916041212 129S 692E 60 1916041218 129S 687E 65 1916041218 129S 687E 65 1916041300 129S 677E 65 1916041300 129S 677E 65 1916041306 128S 667E 80 1916041306 128S 667E 80 1916041306 128S 667E 80 1916041312 127S 659E 85 1916041312 127S 659E 85 1916041312 127S 659E 85 1916041318 127S 650E 85 1916041318 127S 650E 85 1916041318 127S 650E 85 1916041400 126S 642E 95 1916041400 126S 642E 95 1916041400 126S 642E 95 1916041406 125S 634E 105 1916041406 125S 634E 105 1916041406 125S 634E 105 1916041412 124S 625E 100 1916041412 124S 625E 100 1916041412 124S 625E 100 1916041418 123S 616E 100 1916041418 123S 616E 100 1916041418 123S 616E 100 1916041500 123S 607E 95 1916041500 123S 607E 95 1916041500 123S 607E 95 1916041506 123S 597E 105 1916041506 123S 597E 105 1916041506 123S 597E 105 1916041512 124S 587E 120 1916041512 124S 587E 120 1916041512 124S 587E 120 1916041518 124S 580E 130 1916041518 124S 580E 130 1916041518 124S 580E 130 1916041600 124S 571E 130 1916041600 124S 571E 130 1916041600 124S 571E 130 1916041606 123S 563E 130 1916041606 123S 563E 130 1916041606 123S 563E 130 1916041612 120S 553E 130 1916041612 120S 553E 130 1916041612 120S 553E 130 1916041618 115S 544E 135 1916041618 115S 544E 135 1916041618 115S 544E 135 1916041700 111S 535E 135 1916041700 111S 535E 135 1916041700 111S 535E 135 1916041706 106S 526E 135 1916041706 106S 526E 135 1916041706 106S 526E 135 1916041712 103S 517E 140 1916041712 103S 517E 140 1916041712 103S 517E 140 1916041718 98S 508E 150 1916041718 98S 508E 150 1916041718 98S 508E 150 1916041800 94S 501E 150 1916041800 94S 501E 150 1916041800 94S 501E 150 1916041806 93S 497E 150 1916041806 93S 497E 150 1916041806 93S 497E 150 1916041812 93S 495E 145 1916041812 93S 495E 145 1916041812 93S 495E 145 1916041818 93S 493E 135 1916041818 93S 493E 135 1916041818 93S 493E 135 1916041900 92S 496E 120 1916041900 92S 496E 120 1916041900 92S 496E 120 1916041906 93S 500E 105 1916041906 93S 500E 105 1916041906 93S 500E 105 1916041912 95S 506E 95 1916041912 95S 506E 95 1916041912 95S 506E 95 1916041918 97S 512E 85 1916041918 97S 512E 85 1916041918 97S 512E 85 1916042000 100S 520E 95 1916042000 100S 520E 95 1916042000 100S 520E 95 1916042006 105S 527E 105 1916042006 105S 527E 105 1916042006 105S 527E 105 NNNN