WTXS51 PGTW 212100 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 160421192026 2016042118 19S FANTALA 021 01 125 04 SATL 030 T000 129S 0566E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 095 NW QD T012 132S 0568E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 095 NW QD T024 131S 0564E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 128S 0554E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 085 NW QD T048 122S 0540E 085 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 080 NW QD T072 107S 0510E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 102S 0480E 075 T120 099S 0453E 065 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 021 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z --- NEAR 12.9S 56.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S 56.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 13.2S 56.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 13.1S 56.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 12.8S 55.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 12.2S 54.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 10.7S 51.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 10.2S 48.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 9.9S 45.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION NEAR 13.0S 56.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 434 NM NORTH OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z AND 222100Z.// 1916041012 118S 750E 20 1916041018 122S 742E 20 1916041100 125S 734E 20 1916041106 127S 728E 25 1916041112 128S 722E 30 1916041118 129S 714E 35 1916041200 129S 705E 45 1916041206 129S 697E 60 1916041206 129S 697E 60 1916041212 129S 692E 60 1916041212 129S 692E 60 1916041218 129S 687E 65 1916041218 129S 687E 65 1916041300 129S 677E 65 1916041300 129S 677E 65 1916041306 128S 667E 80 1916041306 128S 667E 80 1916041306 128S 667E 80 1916041312 127S 659E 85 1916041312 127S 659E 85 1916041312 127S 659E 85 1916041318 127S 650E 85 1916041318 127S 650E 85 1916041318 127S 650E 85 1916041400 126S 642E 95 1916041400 126S 642E 95 1916041400 126S 642E 95 1916041406 125S 634E 105 1916041406 125S 634E 105 1916041406 125S 634E 105 1916041412 124S 625E 100 1916041412 124S 625E 100 1916041412 124S 625E 100 1916041418 123S 616E 100 1916041418 123S 616E 100 1916041418 123S 616E 100 1916041500 123S 607E 95 1916041500 123S 607E 95 1916041500 123S 607E 95 1916041506 123S 597E 105 1916041506 123S 597E 105 1916041506 123S 597E 105 1916041512 124S 587E 120 1916041512 124S 587E 120 1916041512 124S 587E 120 1916041518 124S 580E 130 1916041518 124S 580E 130 1916041518 124S 580E 130 1916041600 124S 571E 130 1916041600 124S 571E 130 1916041600 124S 571E 130 1916041606 123S 563E 130 1916041606 123S 563E 130 1916041606 123S 563E 130 1916041612 120S 553E 130 1916041612 120S 553E 130 1916041612 120S 553E 130 1916041618 115S 544E 135 1916041618 115S 544E 135 1916041618 115S 544E 135 1916041700 111S 535E 135 1916041700 111S 535E 135 1916041700 111S 535E 135 1916041706 106S 526E 135 1916041706 106S 526E 135 1916041706 106S 526E 135 1916041712 103S 517E 140 1916041712 103S 517E 140 1916041712 103S 517E 140 1916041718 98S 508E 150 1916041718 98S 508E 150 1916041718 98S 508E 150 1916041800 94S 501E 150 1916041800 94S 501E 150 1916041800 94S 501E 150 1916041806 93S 497E 150 1916041806 93S 497E 150 1916041806 93S 497E 150 1916041812 93S 495E 145 1916041812 93S 495E 145 1916041812 93S 495E 145 1916041818 93S 493E 135 1916041818 93S 493E 135 1916041818 93S 493E 135 1916041900 92S 496E 120 1916041900 92S 496E 120 1916041900 92S 496E 120 1916041906 93S 500E 105 1916041906 93S 500E 105 1916041906 93S 500E 105 1916041912 95S 506E 95 1916041912 95S 506E 95 1916041912 95S 506E 95 1916041918 97S 512E 85 1916041918 97S 512E 85 1916041918 97S 512E 85 1916042000 100S 520E 95 1916042000 100S 520E 95 1916042000 100S 520E 95 1916042006 105S 527E 105 1916042006 105S 527E 105 1916042006 105S 527E 105 1916042012 109S 535E 105 1916042012 109S 535E 105 1916042012 109S 535E 105 1916042018 115S 541E 105 1916042018 115S 541E 105 1916042018 115S 541E 105 1916042100 120S 549E 105 1916042100 120S 549E 105 1916042100 120S 549E 105 1916042106 123S 556E 90 1916042106 123S 556E 90 1916042106 123S 556E 90 1916042112 127S 563E 80 1916042112 127S 563E 80 1916042112 127S 563E 80 1916042118 129S 566E 80 1916042118 129S 566E 80 1916042118 129S 566E 80 NNNN