WTXS51 PGTW 142100 WARNING ATCG MIL 22S SIO 200314195418 2020031418 22S HEROLD 004 01 090 01 SATL 015 T000 150S 0511E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD T012 151S 0516E 075 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 155S 0527E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 162S 0547E 095 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 175S 0575E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 208S 0636E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 236S 0677E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (HEROLD) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (HEROLD) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z --- NEAR 15.0S 51.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S 51.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 15.1S 51.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 15.5S 52.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 16.2S 54.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 17.5S 57.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 20.8S 63.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 23.6S 67.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 15.0S 51.2E. 14MAR20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (HEROLD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 312 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z AND 152100Z.// 2220031212 143S 540E 25 2220031218 141S 534E 25 2220031300 141S 528E 30 2220031306 143S 524E 35 2220031312 145S 522E 40 2220031318 149S 516E 45 2220031400 151S 511E 55 2220031400 151S 511E 55 2220031406 151S 509E 60 2220031406 151S 509E 60 2220031412 150S 510E 60 2220031412 150S 510E 60 2220031418 150S 511E 65 2220031418 150S 511E 65 2220031418 150S 511E 65 NNNN