WTXS51 PGTW 152100 WARNING ATCG MIL 22S SIO 200315193849 2020031518 22S HEROLD 006 01 100 06 SATL 015 T000 153S 0527E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 160S 0546E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 171S 0573E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 187S 0603E 090 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 204S 0631E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 231S 0674E 045 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD AMP 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (HEROLD) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (HEROLD) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 15.3S 52.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 52.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 16.0S 54.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 17.1S 57.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 18.7S 60.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 20.4S 63.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 23.1S 67.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 53.2E. 15MAR20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (HEROLD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z AND 162100Z.// 2220031212 143S 540E 25 2220031218 141S 534E 25 2220031300 141S 528E 30 2220031306 143S 524E 35 2220031312 145S 522E 40 2220031318 149S 516E 45 2220031400 151S 511E 55 2220031400 151S 511E 55 2220031406 151S 509E 60 2220031406 151S 509E 60 2220031412 150S 510E 60 2220031412 150S 510E 60 2220031418 149S 512E 65 2220031418 149S 512E 65 2220031418 149S 512E 65 2220031500 151S 513E 70 2220031500 151S 513E 70 2220031500 151S 513E 70 2220031506 150S 517E 70 2220031506 150S 517E 70 2220031506 150S 517E 70 2220031512 152S 521E 70 2220031512 152S 521E 70 2220031512 152S 521E 70 2220031518 153S 527E 80 2220031518 153S 527E 80 2220031518 153S 527E 80 NNNN