WTXS51 PGTW 112100 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 141211211921 2014121118 03S BAKUNG 001 01 255 08 SATL 045 T000 091S 0942E 035 T012 095S 0927E 040 R034 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD T024 099S 0914E 045 R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 104S 0901E 050 R034 035 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 035 NW QD T048 105S 0892E 055 R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD T072 102S 0879E 060 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD T096 101S 0870E 060 T120 110S 0867E 060 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BAKUNG) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BAKUNG) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z --- NEAR 9.1S 94.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 9.1S 94.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 9.5S 92.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 9.9S 91.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 10.4S 90.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 10.5S 89.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 10.2S 87.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 10.1S 87.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 11.0S 86.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 112100Z POSITION NEAR 9.2S 93.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BAKUNG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1294 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z AND 122100Z.// 0314120906 82S1030E 15 0314120912 81S1020E 15 0314120918 81S1012E 15 0314121000 81S1005E 20 0314121006 84S 993E 25 0314121012 86S 986E 25 0314121018 86S 978E 25 0314121100 91S 971E 30 0314121106 90S 958E 30 0314121112 89S 950E 30 0314121118 91S 942E 35 NNNN