WTXS51 PGTW 120900 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 141212072103 2014121206 03S BAKUNG 002 01 250 06 SATL 060 T000 096S 0928E 040 R034 025 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD T012 102S 0913E 045 R034 035 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 106S 0896E 045 R034 035 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 108S 0880E 050 R034 040 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 035 NW QD T048 108S 0864E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 107S 0854E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD T096 107S 0847E 060 T120 111S 0840E 060 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BAKUNG) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BAKUNG) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z --- NEAR 9.6S 92.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S 92.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 10.2S 91.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 10.6S 89.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 10.8S 88.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 10.8S 86.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 10.7S 85.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 10.7S 84.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 11.1S 84.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 120900Z POSITION NEAR 9.7S 92.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BAKUNG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1214 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z AND 130900Z.// 0314120906 82S1030E 15 0314120912 81S1020E 15 0314120918 81S1012E 15 0314121000 81S1005E 20 0314121006 84S 993E 25 0314121012 86S 986E 25 0314121018 86S 978E 25 0314121100 91S 971E 30 0314121106 90S 958E 30 0314121112 89S 950E 30 0314121118 91S 942E 35 0314121200 94S 934E 40 0314121206 96S 928E 40 NNNN