WTXS51 PGTW 122100 WARNING ATCG MIL 05S SIO 150112192135 2015011218 05S BANSI 004 01 120 02 SATL 015 T000 176S 0568E 130 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 145 SE QD 130 SW QD 135 NW QD T012 177S 0572E 145 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 145 SE QD 130 SW QD 135 NW QD T024 178S 0578E 150 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 150 SE QD 135 SW QD 140 NW QD T036 179S 0584E 145 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 183S 0592E 130 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 203S 0615E 115 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW QD 105 NW QD T096 241S 0651E 090 T120 284S 0715E 070 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z --- NEAR 17.6S 56.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 56.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 17.7S 57.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 17.8S 57.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 17.9S 58.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 18.3S 59.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 20.3S 61.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 24.1S 65.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 28.4S 71.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 122100Z POSITION NEAR 17.6S 56.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 153 NM NORTH OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z AND 132100Z.// 0515010806 178S 516E 15 0515010812 182S 525E 15 0515010818 184S 530E 15 0515010900 186S 531E 20 0515010906 190S 531E 20 0515010912 187S 528E 20 0515010918 181S 526E 20 0515011000 175S 528E 20 0515011006 170S 531E 20 0515011012 167S 533E 25 0515011018 163S 538E 30 0515011100 162S 544E 30 0515011106 163S 547E 35 0515011112 167S 549E 50 0515011118 171S 550E 65 0515011118 171S 550E 65 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011218 176S 568E 130 NNNN