WTXS51 PGTW 140900 WARNING ATCG MIL 05S SIO 150114065825 2015011406 05S BANSI 007 01 070 03 SATL 050 T000 173S 0585E 090 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 175S 0591E 090 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T024 180S 0599E 105 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 188S 0611E 115 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T048 201S 0627E 115 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 233S 0664E 100 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD T096 258S 0726E 085 T120 285S 0814E 065 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z --- NEAR 17.3S 58.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S 58.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 17.5S 59.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 18.0S 59.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 18.8S 61.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 20.1S 62.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 23.3S 66.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 25.8S 72.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 28.5S 81.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 140900Z POSITION NEAR 17.4S 58.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BANSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 181 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z AND 150900Z.// 0515010806 178S 516E 15 0515010812 182S 525E 15 0515010818 184S 530E 15 0515010900 186S 531E 20 0515010906 190S 531E 20 0515010912 187S 528E 20 0515010918 181S 526E 20 0515011000 175S 528E 20 0515011006 170S 531E 20 0515011012 167S 533E 25 0515011018 163S 538E 30 0515011100 162S 544E 30 0515011106 163S 547E 35 0515011112 167S 549E 50 0515011118 171S 550E 65 0515011118 171S 550E 65 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011200 172S 552E 80 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011206 172S 559E 100 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011212 175S 566E 115 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011218 176S 568E 130 0515011300 176S 573E 140 0515011300 176S 573E 140 0515011300 176S 573E 140 0515011306 173S 576E 130 0515011306 173S 576E 130 0515011306 173S 576E 130 0515011312 172S 579E 130 0515011312 172S 579E 130 0515011312 172S 579E 130 0515011318 173S 581E 115 0515011318 173S 581E 115 0515011318 173S 581E 115 0515011400 174S 582E 105 0515011400 174S 582E 105 0515011400 174S 582E 105 0515011406 173S 585E 90 0515011406 173S 585E 90 0515011406 173S 585E 90 NNNN