WTPN51 PGTW 121500 WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 150312131258 2015031212 03W BAVI 005 01 290 12 SATL 040 T000 084N 1646E 035 T012 097N 1613E 040 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD T024 108N 1580E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 118N 1546E 050 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 126N 1515E 055 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD T072 138N 1466E 060 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 144N 1413E 060 T120 148N 1364E 060 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 164.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 164.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 9.7N 161.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 10.8N 158.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 11.8N 154.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 12.6N 151.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 13.8N 146.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 14.4N 141.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 14.8N 136.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 121500Z POSITION NEAR 8.7N 163.8E. TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 229 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF UJELANG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z.// 0315031000 63N1766E 15 0315031006 63N1753E 20 0315031012 63N1741E 20 0315031018 63N1728E 20 0315031100 64N1715E 20 0315031106 69N1699E 20 0315031112 72N1684E 30 0315031118 74N1675E 35 0315031200 77N1666E 35 0315031206 80N1657E 35 0315031212 84N1646E 35 NNNN