WTPN53 PHNC 171600 WARNING ATCG MIL 15E NEP 190917152531 2019091712 15E LORENA 001 03 310 15 SATL 030 T000 133N 0996W 035 R034 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD T012 148N 1010W 040 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 163N 1024W 045 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 175N 1036W 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 185N 1046W 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 200N 1063W 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 210N 1080W 055 T120 220N 1100W 050 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 15E (LORENA) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (LORENA) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z --- NEAR 13.3N 99.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 99.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 14.8N 101.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 16.3N 102.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 17.5N 103.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 18.5N 104.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 20.0N 106.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 21.0N 108.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 22.0N 110.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 171600Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 100.1W. 17SEP19. TROPICAL STORM 15E (LORENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1508 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172200Z, 180400Z, 181000Z FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (FOURTEEN) 1519091506 108N 907W 15 1519091512 107N 918W 15 1519091518 107N 928W 15 1519091600 108N 939W 20 1519091606 109N 950W 20 1519091612 110N 958W 25 1519091618 113N 966W 30 1519091700 117N 974W 30 1519091706 123N 984W 35 1519091712 133N 996W 35 NNNN