WTPN51 PHNC 082200 WARNING ATCG MIL 15E NEP 210908205050 2021090818 15E OLAF 005 01 335 04 SATL 030 T000 191N 1075W 040 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 202N 1083W 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD T024 212N 1094W 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 223N 1109W 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 232N 1125W 055 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD T060 235N 1142W 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 235N 1155W 035 R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD T096 231N 1181W 030 T120 224N 1209W 025 AMP 096HR POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120HR POST-TROP/REMNT LOW SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 19.1N 107.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 107.5W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 20.2N 108.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 21.2N 109.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 22.3N 110.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 23.2N 112.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 23.5N 114.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 23.5N 115.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 23.1N 118.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 22.4N 120.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 082200Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 107.8W. 08SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 965 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090400Z, 091000Z, 091600Z AND 092200Z. // 1521090412 126N 993W 20 1521090418 130N1000W 20 1521090500 134N1007W 20 1521090506 138N1014W 20 1521090512 144N1021W 20 1521090518 150N1028W 20 1521090600 157N1034W 25 1521090606 162N1042W 25 1521090612 167N1051W 25 1521090618 170N1058W 25 1521090700 174N1063W 25 1521090706 177N1068W 25 1521090712 179N1073W 30 1521090718 181N1078W 30 1521090800 181N1073W 30 1521090806 183N1070W 30 1521090812 187N1073W 35 1521090818 191N1075W 40 NNNN