WTIO51 PGTW 032100 WARNING ATCG MIL 03B NIO 211003192359 2021100318 03B SHAHEEN-GU 024 01 255 07 SATL 025 T000 238N 0574E 055 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 015 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD T012 230N 0563E 035 R034 005 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD T024 220N 0552E 025 AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (SHAHEEN-GULAB) WARNING NR 024 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (SHAHEEN-GULAB) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z --- NEAR 23.8N 57.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 57.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.0N 56.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 22.0N 55.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 032100Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 57.1E. 03OCT21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (SHAHEEN-GULAB), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 218 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A WEAKENING CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AS TC 03B MOVES OVER LAND INTO OMAN. A 031652Z ASCAT-B IMAGE SHOWS 40-45 KT WINDS JUST OUTSIDE OF THE SYSTEM CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE CENTER IS NOT DEPICTED IN THE ASCAT IMAGE DUE TO ITS COASTAL PROXIMITY. THE INITIAL POSITION IS OVER LAND AND IS BASED ON THE 031730Z PGTW POSITION FIX. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE WINDFIELD OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED ASCAT IMAGE, WHICH INFERS THAT THE MAX WINDS AT THE SYSTEM CENTER WOULD NOT EXCEED 55 KTS. TC 03B WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN TO 25 KNOTS BY TAU 25. NUMERICAL MODELS ALL AGREE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER LAND UNTIL DISSIPATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// 0321092312 175N 947E 15 0321092318 177N 940E 20 0321092400 180N 934E 20 0321092406 185N 921E 35 0321092412 183N 910E 35 0321092418 183N 903E 35 0321092500 182N 897E 35 0321092506 182N 893E 35 0321092512 182N 888E 40 0321092518 183N 882E 40 0321092600 184N 871E 40 0321092606 184N 853E 40 0321092612 184N 843E 40 0321092618 180N 833E 35 0321092700 180N 821E 30 0321092706 182N 811E 25 0321092712 191N 801E 25 0321092718 195N 790E 20 0321092800 198N 779E 20 0321092806 200N 772E 20 0321092812 203N 767E 20 0321092818 208N 755E 20 0321092900 215N 741E 20 0321092906 221N 726E 25 0321092912 226N 714E 25 0321092918 226N 697E 25 0321093000 225N 689E 25 0321093006 227N 682E 25 0321093012 227N 669E 30 0321093018 228N 662E 40 0321100100 229N 653E 45 0321100106 231N 644E 50 0321100106 231N 644E 50 0321100112 236N 638E 60 0321100112 236N 638E 60 0321100118 237N 632E 60 0321100118 237N 632E 60 0321100200 238N 625E 65 0321100200 238N 625E 65 0321100200 238N 625E 65 0321100206 241N 616E 60 0321100206 241N 616E 60 0321100212 242N 608E 65 0321100212 242N 608E 65 0321100212 242N 608E 65 0321100218 242N 600E 65 0321100218 242N 600E 65 0321100218 242N 600E 65 0321100300 242N 593E 70 0321100300 242N 593E 70 0321100300 242N 593E 70 0321100306 241N 586E 70 0321100306 241N 586E 70 0321100306 241N 586E 70 0321100312 240N 581E 65 0321100312 240N 581E 65 0321100312 240N 581E 65 0321100318 238N 574E 55 0321100318 238N 574E 55 NNNN