WTXS51 PGTW 082100 WARNING ATCG MIL 02S SIO 201208195225 2020120818 02S BONGOYO 004 02 215 12 SATL XTRP 040 T000 187S 0768E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 198S 0760E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD T024 203S 0752E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 205S 0739E 045 R034 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD T048 203S 0719E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 203S 0669E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 198S 0610E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BONGOYO) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BONGOYO) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 18.7S 76.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S 76.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 19.8S 76.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 20.3S 75.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 20.5S 73.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 20.3S 71.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 20.3S 66.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 19.8S 61.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0S 76.6E. 0220112612 112S 913E 15 0220112618 115S 918E 15 0220112700 119S 921E 15 0220112706 124S 924E 20 0220112712 129S 926E 25 0220112718 131S 930E 20 0220112800 134S 929E 20 0220112806 132S 922E 20 0220112812 132S 915E 20 0220112818 127S 914E 20 0220112900 123S 915E 20 0220112906 120S 915E 20 0220112912 116S 909E 20 0220112918 112S 902E 25 0220113000 109S 896E 25 0220113006 109S 890E 25 0220113012 110S 884E 25 0220113018 109S 877E 25 0220120100 106S 871E 25 0220120106 103S 865E 20 0220120112 98S 854E 20 0220120118 90S 842E 20 0220120200 85S 835E 20 0220120206 79S 830E 20 0220120212 76S 832E 20 0220120218 75S 838E 20 0220120300 74S 847E 20 0220120306 69S 849E 20 0220120312 68S 852E 20 0220120318 68S 854E 25 0220120400 69S 857E 25 0220120406 70S 860E 20 0220120412 72S 862E 25 0220120418 74S 864E 25 0220120500 76S 865E 25 0220120506 82S 867E 25 0220120512 88S 868E 25 0220120518 95S 867E 25 0220120600 107S 864E 30 0220120606 116S 855E 30 0220120612 124S 846E 30 0220120618 132S 837E 30 0220120700 142S 830E 35 0220120706 146S 819E 35 0220120712 151S 809E 40 0220120718 155S 800E 45 0220120800 159S 793E 55 0220120800 159S 793E 55 0220120806 168S 781E 55 0220120806 168S 781E 55 0220120812 177S 775E 55 0220120812 177S 775E 55 0220120818 187S 768E 55 0220120818 187S 768E 55 NNNN