WTXS51 PGTW 080900 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 181108082423 2018110806 03S ALCIDE 010 01 230 06 SATL 020 T000 116S 0541E 100 R064 010 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 122S 0535E 095 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 127S 0532E 085 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 130S 0536E 080 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 130S 0538E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 126S 0536E 045 R034 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 120S 0528E 035 R034 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD T120 109S 0517E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 11.6S 54.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S 54.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 12.2S 53.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 12.7S 53.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 13.0S 53.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 13.0S 53.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 12.6S 53.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 12.0S 52.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 10.9S 51.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 11.7S 54.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 542 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. // 0318110406 65S 696E 25 0318110412 65S 683E 25 0318110418 67S 671E 25 0318110500 72S 654E 25 0318110506 75S 639E 25 0318110512 78S 632E 30 0318110518 84S 620E 30 0318110600 88S 607E 35 0318110606 92S 600E 35 0318110612 96S 592E 40 0318110618 98S 583E 45 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 NNNN