WTXS51 PGTW 091500 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 181109134710 2018110912 03S ALCIDE 015 01 180 01 SATL 040 T000 131S 0530E 070 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 132S 0532E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 129S 0533E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 126S 0530E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 125S 0523E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 120S 0514E 035 R034 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 111S 0501E 025 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE) WARNING NR 015 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z --- NEAR 13.1S 53.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S 53.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 13.2S 53.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 12.9S 53.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 12.6S 53.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 12.5S 52.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 12.0S 51.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 11.1S 50.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 53.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 487 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z. // 0318110406 65S 696E 25 0318110412 65S 683E 25 0318110418 67S 671E 25 0318110500 72S 654E 25 0318110506 75S 639E 25 0318110512 78S 632E 30 0318110518 84S 620E 30 0318110600 88S 607E 35 0318110606 92S 600E 35 0318110612 96S 592E 40 0318110618 98S 583E 45 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110912 131S 530E 70 0318110912 131S 530E 70 0318110912 131S 530E 70 NNNN