WTXS51 PGTW 092100 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 181109194457 2018110918 03S ALCIDE 016 01 160 03 SATL 030 T000 134S 0531E 065 R064 015 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 085 NW QD T012 132S 0532E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 129S 0531E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 127S 0526E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 125S 0521E 045 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 119S 0511E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z --- NEAR 13.4S 53.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S 53.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 13.2S 53.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 12.9S 53.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 12.7S 52.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 12.5S 52.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 11.9S 51.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z POSITION NEAR 13.4S 53.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (ALCIDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 469 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.// 0318110406 65S 696E 25 0318110412 65S 683E 25 0318110418 67S 671E 25 0318110500 72S 654E 25 0318110506 75S 639E 25 0318110512 78S 632E 30 0318110518 84S 620E 30 0318110600 88S 607E 35 0318110606 92S 600E 35 0318110612 96S 592E 40 0318110618 98S 583E 45 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110912 131S 530E 65 0318110912 131S 530E 65 0318110912 131S 530E 65 0318110918 134S 531E 65 0318110918 134S 531E 65 0318110918 134S 531E 65 NNNN