WTXS51 PGTW 101500 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 181110134455 2018111012 03S ALCIDE 019 02 315 01 SATL 030 T000 129S 0527E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD T012 127S 0526E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T024 125S 0525E 045 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 123S 0524E 040 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 120S 0522E 035 T072 106S 0513E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ALCIDE) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 12.9S 52.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S 52.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 12.7S 52.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 12.5S 52.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 12.3S 52.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 12.0S 52.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 10.6S 51.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 12.9S 52.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (ALCIDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0318110406 65S 696E 25 0318110412 65S 683E 25 0318110418 67S 671E 25 0318110500 72S 654E 25 0318110506 75S 639E 25 0318110512 78S 632E 30 0318110518 84S 620E 30 0318110600 88S 607E 35 0318110606 92S 600E 35 0318110612 96S 592E 40 0318110618 98S 583E 45 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110700 100S 576E 50 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110706 102S 569E 65 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110712 104S 560E 75 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110718 108S 553E 85 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110800 112S 546E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110806 116S 541E 100 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110812 119S 537E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110818 123S 533E 95 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110900 127S 530E 90 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110906 130S 530E 80 0318110912 131S 530E 65 0318110912 131S 530E 65 0318110912 131S 530E 65 0318110918 131S 529E 65 0318110918 131S 529E 65 0318110918 131S 529E 65 0318111000 131S 528E 60 0318111000 131S 528E 60 0318111006 130S 528E 60 0318111006 130S 528E 60 0318111012 129S 527E 55 0318111012 129S 527E 55 NNNN