WTXS52 PGTW 052100 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 191205202315 2019120518 03S AMBALI 004 02 210 08 SATL 010 T000 099S 0624E 100 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD T012 111S 0621E 130 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 120S 0620E 125 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 035 NW QD T036 130S 0619E 110 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 135S 0615E 090 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T072 141S 0608E 055 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 075 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 150S 0597E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD T120 159S 0588E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AMBALI) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AMBALI) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 9.9S 62.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S 62.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 11.1S 62.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 12.0S 62.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 13.0S 61.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 13.5S 61.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 14.1S 60.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 15.0S 59.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 15.9S 58.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 10.2S 62.3E. 05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AMBALI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 679 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z AND 062100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BELNA) WARNINGS 0319120206 39S 678E 15 0319120212 39S 666E 15 0319120218 39S 655E 15 0319120300 41S 653E 15 0319120306 42S 652E 15 0319120312 43S 650E 20 0319120318 46S 650E 25 0319120400 51S 650E 25 0319120406 58S 647E 30 0319120412 65S 646E 30 0319120418 73S 641E 35 0319120500 78S 636E 35 0319120506 86S 632E 50 0319120506 86S 632E 50 0319120512 92S 628E 70 0319120512 92S 628E 70 0319120512 92S 628E 70 0319120518 99S 624E 100 0319120518 99S 624E 100 0319120518 99S 624E 100 NNNN