WTXS52 PGTW 121500 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 181112142620 2018111212 04S BOUCHRA 010 01 180 03 SATL 045 T000 062S 0893E 040 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T012 065S 0897E 040 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 069S 0903E 045 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 076S 0912E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 083S 0912E 045 R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 091S 0906E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 100S 0894E 045 R034 050 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 040 NW QD T120 111S 0873E 040 R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 010 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z --- NEAR 6.2S 89.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 6.2S 89.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 6.5S 89.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 6.9S 90.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 7.6S 91.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 8.3S 91.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 9.1S 90.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 10.0S 89.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 11.1S 87.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 121500Z POSITION NEAR 6.3S 89.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1003 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z. // 0418110812 58S 881E 15 0418110818 60S 886E 15 0418110900 57S 893E 15 0418110906 52S 899E 15 0418110912 49S 903E 20 0418110918 48S 906E 25 0418111000 50S 908E 30 0418111006 55S 905E 35 0418111012 58S 900E 35 0418111018 56S 895E 35 0418111100 56S 890E 35 0418111106 55S 882E 45 0418111109 53S 885E 45 0418111112 53S 889E 40 0418111118 53S 890E 40 0418111200 55S 891E 35 0418111206 59S 893E 40 0418111212 62S 893E 40 NNNN