WTXS52 PGTW 180900 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 181118075042 2018111806 04S BOUCHRA 014 01 235 11 SATL 025 T000 122S 0844E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 095 NW QD T012 132S 0827E 050 R050 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 140S 0811E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 148S 0796E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 153S 0781E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD T072 158S 0752E 035 R034 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD T096 164S 0719E 025 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 014 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z --- NEAR 12.2S 84.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S 84.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 13.2S 82.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 14.0S 81.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 14.8S 79.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 15.3S 78.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 15.8S 75.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 16.4S 71.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 84.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 767 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z, 190300Z AND 190900Z. // 0418110812 58S 881E 15 0418110818 60S 886E 15 0418110900 57S 893E 15 0418110906 52S 899E 15 0418110912 49S 903E 20 0418110918 48S 906E 25 0418111000 50S 908E 30 0418111006 55S 905E 35 0418111012 58S 900E 35 0418111018 56S 895E 35 0418111100 56S 890E 35 0418111106 55S 882E 45 0418111109 53S 885E 45 0418111112 53S 889E 40 0418111118 53S 890E 40 0418111200 55S 891E 35 0418111206 59S 893E 40 0418111212 62S 893E 40 0418111218 66S 893E 40 0418111300 69S 899E 35 0418111306 72S 902E 30 0418111312 71S 904E 25 0418111318 71S 906E 25 0418111400 66S 915E 25 0418111406 66S 917E 25 0418111412 71S 914E 25 0418111418 73S 910E 25 0418111500 82S 913E 25 0418111506 84S 919E 25 0418111512 87S 926E 25 0418111518 87S 919E 25 0418111600 87S 912E 25 0418111606 99S 919E 25 0418111612 102S 913E 25 0418111618 104S 903E 25 0418111700 107S 893E 30 0418111706 112S 884E 30 0418111712 114S 874E 30 0418111718 114S 863E 35 0418111800 116S 853E 40 0418111806 122S 844E 45 NNNN