WTXS52 PGTW 190300 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 181119013251 2018111900 04S BOUCHRA 017 01 245 07 SATL 060 T000 137S 0817E 055 R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 146S 0801E 050 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 152S 0786E 050 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 155S 0772E 045 R034 020 NE QD 150 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD T048 157S 0761E 040 R034 040 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 157S 0727E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 017 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z --- NEAR 13.7S 81.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S 81.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 14.6S 80.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 15.2S 78.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 15.5S 77.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 15.7S 76.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 15.7S 72.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z POSITION NEAR 13.9S 81.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 672 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 200300Z. // 0418110812 58S 881E 15 0418110818 60S 886E 15 0418110900 57S 893E 15 0418110906 52S 899E 15 0418110912 49S 903E 20 0418110918 48S 906E 25 0418111000 50S 908E 30 0418111006 55S 905E 35 0418111012 58S 900E 35 0418111018 56S 895E 35 0418111100 56S 890E 35 0418111106 55S 882E 45 0418111109 53S 885E 45 0418111112 53S 889E 40 0418111118 53S 890E 40 0418111200 55S 891E 35 0418111206 59S 893E 40 0418111212 62S 893E 40 0418111218 66S 893E 40 0418111300 69S 899E 35 0418111306 72S 902E 30 0418111312 71S 904E 25 0418111318 71S 906E 25 0418111400 66S 915E 25 0418111406 66S 917E 25 0418111412 71S 914E 25 0418111418 73S 910E 25 0418111500 82S 913E 25 0418111506 84S 919E 25 0418111512 87S 926E 25 0418111518 87S 919E 25 0418111600 87S 912E 25 0418111606 99S 919E 25 0418111612 102S 913E 25 0418111618 104S 903E 25 0418111700 107S 893E 30 0418111706 112S 884E 30 0418111712 114S 874E 30 0418111718 114S 863E 35 0418111800 116S 853E 40 0418111806 122S 844E 50 0418111812 128S 837E 50 0418111812 128S 837E 50 0418111818 134S 823E 50 0418111818 134S 823E 50 0418111900 137S 817E 55 0418111900 137S 817E 55 NNNN