WTXS52 PGTW 190900 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 181119080647 2018111906 04S BOUCHRA 018 01 225 10 SATL 060 T000 145S 0811E 055 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 154S 0799E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD T024 160S 0785E 045 R034 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD T036 164S 0771E 040 R034 000 NE QD 130 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD T048 164S 0756E 035 R034 010 NE QD 150 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD T072 161S 0723E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (BOUCHRA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 14.5S 81.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S 81.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 15.4S 79.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 16.0S 78.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 16.4S 77.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 16.4S 75.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 16.1S 72.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7S 80.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (BOUCHRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 674 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z, 192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.// 0418110812 58S 881E 15 0418110818 60S 886E 15 0418110900 57S 893E 15 0418110906 52S 899E 15 0418110912 49S 903E 20 0418110918 48S 906E 25 0418111000 50S 908E 30 0418111006 55S 905E 35 0418111012 58S 900E 35 0418111018 56S 895E 35 0418111100 56S 890E 35 0418111106 55S 882E 45 0418111109 53S 885E 45 0418111112 53S 889E 40 0418111118 53S 890E 40 0418111200 55S 891E 35 0418111206 59S 893E 40 0418111212 62S 893E 40 0418111218 66S 893E 40 0418111300 69S 899E 35 0418111306 72S 902E 30 0418111312 71S 904E 25 0418111318 71S 906E 25 0418111400 66S 915E 25 0418111406 66S 917E 25 0418111412 71S 914E 25 0418111418 73S 910E 25 0418111500 82S 913E 25 0418111506 84S 919E 25 0418111512 87S 926E 25 0418111518 87S 919E 25 0418111600 87S 912E 25 0418111606 99S 919E 25 0418111612 102S 913E 25 0418111618 104S 903E 25 0418111700 107S 893E 30 0418111706 112S 884E 30 0418111712 114S 874E 30 0418111718 114S 863E 35 0418111800 116S 853E 40 0418111806 122S 844E 50 0418111812 128S 837E 50 0418111812 128S 837E 50 0418111818 134S 823E 50 0418111818 134S 823E 50 0418111900 138S 818E 55 0418111900 138S 818E 55 0418111906 145S 811E 55 0418111906 145S 811E 55 NNNN