WTPS51 PGTW 262100 WARNING ATCG MIL 04P SWP 191226200749 2019122618 04P SARAI 003 01 195 13 SATL 060 T000 157S 1755E 045 R034 195 NE QD 225 SE QD 115 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 176S 1755E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 205 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 185S 1762E 060 R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD T036 191S 1774E 065 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD T048 194S 1786E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 199S 1789W 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 202S 1757W 055 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 198S 1716W 045 R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 15.7S 175.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S 175.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 17.6S 175.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 18.5S 176.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 19.1S 177.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 19.4S 178.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 19.9S 178.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 20.2S 175.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 19.8S 171.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 16.2S 175.5E. 26DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04P (SARAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.// 0419122306 54S1755E 15 0419122312 58S1760E 15 0419122318 63S1762E 15 0419122400 68S1764E 15 0419122406 74S1766E 20 0419122412 78S1764E 20 0419122418 81S1761E 20 0419122500 83S1757E 25 0419122506 88S1757E 25 0419122512 98S1758E 25 0419122518 110S1758E 25 0419122600 120S1758E 25 0419122606 132S1758E 35 0419122612 144S1758E 45 0419122618 157S1755E 45 NNNN