WTPS51 PGTW 280300 WARNING ATCG MIL 04P SWP 191228022543 2019122800 04P SARAI 008 01 115 09 SATL 025 T000 196S 1775E 065 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 185 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 199S 1784E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 200S 1793E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 110 NW QD T036 200S 1799W 060 R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD T048 199S 1791W 055 R050 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 194S 1777W 045 R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD T096 184S 1752W 040 R034 180 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD T120 174S 1721W 040 R034 200 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 120 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 008 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z --- NEAR 19.6S 177.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S 177.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 19.9S 178.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 20.0S 179.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 20.0S 179.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 19.9S 179.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 19.4S 177.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 18.4S 175.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.4S 172.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 280300Z POSITION NEAR 19.7S 177.7E. 28DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 103 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.// 0419122306 54S1755E 15 0419122312 58S1760E 15 0419122318 63S1762E 15 0419122400 68S1764E 15 0419122406 74S1766E 20 0419122412 78S1764E 20 0419122418 81S1761E 20 0419122500 83S1757E 25 0419122506 88S1757E 25 0419122512 98S1758E 25 0419122518 110S1758E 25 0419122600 120S1758E 25 0419122606 132S1758E 35 0419122612 144S1758E 45 0419122618 157S1755E 45 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122800 196S1775E 65 0419122800 196S1775E 65 0419122800 196S1775E 65 NNNN