WTPS51 PGTW 291500 WARNING ATCG MIL 04P SWP 191229134741 2019122912 04P SARAI 014 01 080 06 SATL 030 T000 204S 1796W 065 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 185 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 206S 1787W 060 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 206S 1776W 055 R050 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 203S 1764W 050 R050 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 198S 1749W 045 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 186S 1716W 040 R034 140 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 194S 1668W 035 R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD T120 231S 1613W 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 014 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z --- NEAR 20.5S 179.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5S 179.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 20.6S 179.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 20.7S 178.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 20.6S 177.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 19.7S 173.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 19.1S 172.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.2S 167.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 22.4S 162.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z POSITION NEAR 20.5S 179.9W. 29DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 164 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z. // 0419122306 54S1755E 15 0419122312 58S1760E 15 0419122318 63S1762E 15 0419122400 68S1764E 15 0419122406 74S1766E 20 0419122412 78S1764E 20 0419122418 81S1761E 20 0419122500 83S1757E 25 0419122506 88S1757E 25 0419122512 98S1758E 25 0419122518 110S1758E 25 0419122600 120S1758E 25 0419122606 132S1758E 35 0419122612 144S1758E 45 0419122618 157S1755E 45 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122906 205S1798E 65 0419122906 205S1798E 65 0419122906 205S1798E 65 NNNN