WTPS51 PGTW 300300 WARNING ATCG MIL 04P SWP 191230015024 2019123000 04P SARAI 016 01 125 03 SATL 035 T000 207S 1786W 055 R050 025 NE QD 010 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 195 SE QD 160 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 208S 1775W 050 R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD T024 205S 1761W 050 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 200S 1746W 045 R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 193S 1728W 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 188S 1686W 035 R034 170 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD T096 209S 1645W 035 R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD T120 246S 1598W 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 016 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 20.7S 178.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S 178.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 20.8S 177.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 20.5S 176.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 20.0S 174.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 19.3S 172.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.8S 168.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.9S 164.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 24.6S 159.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 20.7S 178.3W. 30DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.// 0419122306 54S1755E 15 0419122312 58S1760E 15 0419122318 63S1762E 15 0419122400 68S1764E 15 0419122406 74S1766E 20 0419122412 78S1764E 20 0419122418 81S1761E 20 0419122500 83S1757E 25 0419122506 88S1757E 25 0419122512 98S1758E 25 0419122518 110S1758E 25 0419122600 120S1758E 25 0419122606 132S1758E 35 0419122612 144S1758E 45 0419122618 157S1755E 45 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122906 205S1797E 65 0419122906 205S1797E 65 0419122906 205S1797E 65 0419122912 203S1796W 65 0419122912 203S1796W 65 0419122912 203S1796W 65 0419122918 205S1789W 60 0419122918 205S1789W 60 0419123000 207S1786W 55 0419123000 207S1786W 55 NNNN