WTPS51 PGTW 302100 WARNING ATCG MIL 04P SWP 191230194345 2019123018 04P SARAI 019 01 085 08 SATL 060 T000 211S 1759W 045 R034 110 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 105 NW QD T012 207S 1744W 045 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 201S 1724W 040 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T036 194S 1702W 035 R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 190S 1679W 035 R034 130 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 207S 1633W 035 R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T096 244S 1589W 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 019 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z --- NEAR 21.1S 175.9W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.1S 175.9W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 20.7S 174.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 20.1S 172.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 19.4S 170.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 19.0S 167.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.7S 163.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 24.4S 158.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z POSITION NEAR 21.0S 175.5W. 30DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 359 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z. // 0419122306 54S1755E 15 0419122312 58S1760E 15 0419122318 63S1762E 15 0419122400 68S1764E 15 0419122406 74S1766E 20 0419122412 78S1764E 20 0419122418 81S1761E 20 0419122500 83S1757E 25 0419122506 88S1757E 25 0419122512 98S1758E 25 0419122518 110S1758E 25 0419122600 120S1758E 25 0419122606 132S1758E 35 0419122612 144S1758E 45 0419122618 157S1755E 45 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122700 168S1754E 50 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122706 180S1755E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122712 186S1760E 55 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122718 192S1766E 60 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122800 199S1772E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122806 202S1775E 65 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122812 201S1779E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122818 199S1783E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122900 203S1791E 70 0419122906 205S1797E 65 0419122906 205S1797E 65 0419122906 205S1797E 65 0419122912 203S1796W 65 0419122912 203S1796W 65 0419122912 203S1796W 65 0419122918 205S1789W 60 0419122918 205S1789W 60 0419123000 207S1786W 55 0419123000 207S1786W 55 0419123006 211S1774W 50 0419123006 211S1774W 50 0419123012 212S1767W 45 0419123018 211S1759W 45 NNNN