WTXS51 PGTW 301500 WARNING ATCG MIL 05S SIO 191230135042 2019123012 05S CALVINIA 003 01 205 02 SATL 030 T000 207S 0582E 050 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 211S 0581E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 221S 0587E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 243S 0600E 060 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 273S 0612E 060 R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 210 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 346S 0651E 055 R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD AMP 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CALVINIA) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CALVINIA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 20.6S 58.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S 58.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.0S 58.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 21.4S 58.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 22.5S 58.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.4S 59.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 31.1S 63.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 37.7S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 20.7S 58.7E. 30DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CALVINIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z AND 310300Z.// 0519122612 123S 534E 15 0519122618 117S 536E 20 0519122700 113S 543E 20 0519122706 117S 550E 25 0519122712 121S 557E 25 0519122718 125S 562E 25 0519122800 132S 576E 25 0519122806 134S 590E 25 0519122812 145S 604E 25 0519122818 159S 605E 25 0519122900 172S 607E 30 0519122906 181S 602E 35 0519122912 194S 598E 35 0519122918 202S 592E 35 0519123000 206S 588E 35 NNNN