WTXS51 PGTW 260900 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 201226064429 2020122606 07S CHALANE 004 01 260 07 SATL 030 T000 161S 0524E 035 R034 030 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 025 NW QD T012 164S 0506E 035 R034 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T024 170S 0484E 030 T036 180S 0462E 025 T048 189S 0444E 025 T072 194S 0410E 035 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 194S 0365E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD T120 197S 0310E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z --- NEAR 16.1S 52.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S 52.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 16.4S 50.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 17.0S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 18.0S 46.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 18.9S 44.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 19.4S 41.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 19.4S 36.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 19.7S 31.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260900Z POSITION NEAR 16.2S 51.9E. 26DEC20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z AND 270900Z. // 0720122118 130S 620E 25 0720122200 134S 621E 20 0720122206 137S 620E 20 0720122212 139S 617E 25 0720122218 145S 616E 25 0720122300 150S 614E 25 0720122306 150S 611E 25 0720122312 149S 608E 25 0720122318 147S 605E 30 0720122400 147S 600E 30 0720122406 154S 592E 30 0720122412 154S 582E 30 0720122418 159S 574E 35 0720122500 158S 565E 35 0720122506 159S 556E 35 0720122512 160S 548E 35 0720122518 160S 539E 35 0720122600 160S 531E 35 0720122606 161S 524E 35 NNNN