WTXS51 PGTW 272100 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 201227195423 2020122718 07S CHALANE 007 01 240 11 SATL 050 T000 192S 0456E 030 T012 200S 0439E 035 R034 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 202S 0424E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD T036 202S 0405E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD T048 202S 0382E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD T072 202S 0335E 055 T096 203S 0278E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z --- NEAR 19.2S 45.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 45.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 20.0S 43.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 20.2S 42.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 20.2S 40.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 20.2S 38.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 20.2S 33.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 20.3S 27.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z POSITION NEAR 19.4S 45.2E. 27DEC20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (CHALANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 109 NM WEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z AND 282100Z.// 0720122118 130S 620E 25 0720122200 134S 621E 20 0720122206 137S 620E 20 0720122212 139S 617E 25 0720122218 145S 616E 25 0720122300 150S 614E 25 0720122306 150S 611E 25 0720122312 149S 608E 25 0720122318 147S 605E 30 0720122400 147S 600E 30 0720122406 154S 592E 30 0720122412 154S 582E 30 0720122418 159S 574E 35 0720122500 158S 565E 35 0720122506 159S 556E 35 0720122512 160S 548E 35 0720122518 160S 539E 35 0720122600 160S 531E 35 0720122606 162S 525E 35 0720122612 168S 510E 35 0720122618 176S 497E 35 0720122700 178S 486E 30 0720122706 182S 476E 30 0720122712 187S 466E 30 0720122718 192S 456E 30 NNNN