WTPS51 PGTW 010900 WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 190101081736 2019010106 08P PENNY 006 01 095 12 SATL RADR SYNP 030 T000 126S 1423E 040 R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T012 125S 1443E 045 R034 170 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 150 NW QD T024 129S 1469E 050 R050 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 210 NW QD T036 135S 1500E 055 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 190 SE QD 120 SW QD 220 NW QD T048 142S 1532E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 200 NW QD T072 160S 1568E 065 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD T096 171S 1562E 065 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD T120 187S 1542E 050 R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z --- NEAR 12.6S 142.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S 142.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 12.5S 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 12.9S 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 13.5S 150.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 14.2S 153.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 16.0S 156.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 17.1S 156.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 18.7S 154.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 010900Z POSITION NEAR 12.6S 142.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (PENNY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 328 NM NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z, 012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.// 0818122812 115S1448E 25 0818122818 118S1448E 25 0818122900 122S1448E 25 0818122906 124S1447E 25 0818122912 126S1446E 25 0818122918 129S1443E 25 0818123000 135S1439E 25 0818123006 133S1426E 25 0818123012 132S1417E 25 0818123018 130S1407E 30 0818123100 128S1396E 35 0818123106 125S1393E 35 0818123112 125S1402E 35 0818123118 125S1407E 35 0819010100 125S1411E 40 0819010106 126S1423E 40 NNNN